[CAPTURE PORTAL] 119TH CONGRESS

// Legislative Integrity Monitor

Goblin House Intelligence

Adrian Smith

Republican · Representative, NE ·3

Score Components

7 LOW

Connection Density 20%

0 → 0

Donor Influence 10%

0 → 0

Silence Risk 25%

10 → 3

Contradiction Risk 25%

0 → 0

Intelligence Volume 10%

48 → 5

Constituency Deviation 5%

0 → 0

Voting Misalignment 5%

0 → 0

% = weight in composite score · Raw component 0–100 × weight = weighted contribution (→) · Sum of contributions = overall score. Hover a row for details.

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Bachelor's Degree or Higher: 24.9%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Homeownership Rate: 71.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Poverty Rate: 7.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Unemployment Rate: 2.6%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Demographic anchor: Median Household Income: $68,556

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Amendment 1: Abortion Restrictions (2024) — failed, margin 52%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Initiative 436: Medical Marijuana (2024) — failed, margin 51%

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Ballot measure: Referendum 435: Voter ID (2024) — passed, margin 68%

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 31-33 (share 9.8)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 44-45 (share 11.5)

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[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 62 (share 14.7)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Dominant industry: NAICS 11 (share 16)

secondary

[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Nebraska Public Power District (1500 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: CHI Health (8000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: Cargill (2000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] Top employer: JBS USA (meat processing) (3000 employees)

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[constituency_baseline] District summary: Nebraska's 3rd congressional district is a vast, sparsely populated region covering approximately 65,000 square miles in the western part of the state. The district's economy is predominantly agricultural, focusing on cattle, corn, soybeans, and wheat. Major cities include Grand Island, Scottsbluff, and North Platte.

secondary

Voted yea on H.R. 1340 (FISA Reauthorization Act of 2025) on 2025-12-11: Voted to reauthorize Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA), which permits warrantless surveillance of foreign nationals abroad but incidentally collects Americans' communications.

primary · 2025-12-11

Voted yea on H.R. 1328 (SAVE Act) on 2025-04-10: Voted to require documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration, a top priority for the conservative movement.

primary · 2025-04-10

Voted yea on H.R. 8022 (No Welfare for Illegal Immigrants Act) on 2025-03-13: Voted to ban federal benefits for undocumented immigrants, regardless of legal status.

primary · 2025-03-13

No connections mapped

Bill	Vote	Date	Alignment
FISA Reauthorization Act of 2025	yea	2025-12-11	misaligned
Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026	yea	2025-07-24	deviating
Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2025	yea	2025-05-31	deviating
SAVE Act	yea	2025-04-10	misaligned
No Welfare for Illegal Immigrants Act	yea	2025-03-13	misaligned

Last contradiction analysis: Never

No contradictions detected

Last silence detection: Never

Stock Trading Disclosure Delays

729d silent

Expected position: As a senior member of the Ways and Means Committee, which oversees tax policy and financial regulations, Rep. Adrian Smith is expected to demonstrate strict compliance with the STOC

No donor interests mapped

No constituency baseline modelled

No platform commitments archived

No committee memberships recorded

Scoring Methodology

The Capture Risk Score is a composite 0–100 index measuring potential regulatory capture of elected officials. It is computed from seven weighted components:

Component	Weight	Signal
Silence Risk	25%	Topics where donors have interests but the official is silent
Contradiction Risk	25%	Stated positions contradicted by voting record (recent findings boosted)
Connection Density	20%	Mapped relationships to lobbyists, contractors, interest groups
Intelligence Volume	10%	Documented facts from verified sources (logarithmic scale)
Donor Influence	10%	Distinct donors with interests overlapping committee jurisdiction
Constituency Deviation	5%	Gap between district priorities and legislative focus
Voting Misalignment	5%	Floor votes contradicting stated platform positions

Each component produces a raw score 0–100. The weighted sum yields the overall score. Tier thresholds: Critical ≥ 45, High ≥ 36, Elevated ≥ 22, Moderate ≥ 10, Low < 10.

Officials without at least 2 documented facts, 1 contradiction analysis, 1 voting record, or 1 constituency baseline are marked Insufficient Evidence and excluded from numeric ranking.

Contradiction findings from the last 180 days receive a recency boost. High-severity contradictions (score ≥ 70) receive additional weight.

Full methodology: /congress/methodology

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